Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.002358 0.002496 0.002643 0.002812 0.003002 0.003211 0.003460
2025-03-23 0.002176 0.002369 0.002587 0.002853 0.003174 0.003557 0.004061
2025-03-30 0.002014 0.002234 0.002493 0.002823 0.003245 0.003783 0.004552
2025-04-06 0.001867 0.002100 0.002378 0.002746 0.003236 0.003894 0.004906
2025-04-13 0.001769 0.002011 0.002308 0.002711 0.003270 0.004058 0.005362
2025-04-20 0.001640 0.001874 0.002166 0.002568 0.003135 0.003957 0.005376
2025-04-27 0.001585 0.001827 0.002133 0.002565 0.003194 0.004148 0.005916
2025-05-04 0.001562 0.001819 0.002149 0.002628 0.003353 0.004517 0.006894
2025-05-11 0.001519 0.001780 0.002122 0.002626 0.003412 0.004729 0.007642
2025-05-18 0.001507 0.001781 0.002147 0.002702 0.003599 0.005202 0.009217
2025-05-25 0.001465 0.001741 0.002112 0.002684 0.003630 0.005386 0.010178
2025-06-01 0.001415 0.001686 0.002054 0.002627 0.003588 0.005418 0.010717
2025-06-08 0.001396 0.001676 0.002062 0.002676 0.003744 0.005915 0.013317
2025-06-15 0.001374 0.001661 0.002061 0.002711 0.003883 0.006421 0.016876
2025-06-22 0.001337 0.001622 0.002023 0.002684 0.003900 0.006646 0.019665
2025-06-29 0.001290 0.001569 0.001962 0.002613 0.003826 0.006624 0.020988
2025-07-06 0.001257 0.001533 0.001925 0.002582 0.003825 0.006798 0.024423
2025-07-13 0.001200 0.001461 0.001832 0.002450 0.003612 0.006347 0.021562
2025-07-20 0.001179 0.001441 0.001816 0.002448 0.003661 0.006648 0.026831
2025-07-27 0.001174 0.001444 0.001834 0.002506 0.003842 0.007401 0.045279
2025-08-03 0.001156 0.001425 0.001819 0.002504 0.003896 0.007786 0.069577
2025-08-10 0.001154 0.001432 0.001843 0.002573 0.004117 0.008869 0.605409
2025-08-17 0.001133 0.001409 0.001820 0.002557 0.004138 0.009216 NaN